SYDNEY, Feb 28 2018 : Asian shares faltered today and bonds were sold off as risk appetite soured after comments from new Federal Reserve Chair revived fears about faster rate rises in the United States.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slipped 0.2 percent, on track for a second straight day of losses.
It is down more than 4 percent in February after global equity markets were mauled at the start of the month by worries U.S. inflation is picking up.
Jerome Powell noted in his semi-annual testimony yesterday that the U.S. economy was strong, inflation was ticking higher and that the global backdrop was better than in December.
When asked about likely catalysts for more than three rate hikes in 2018, he said each member would write a new “dot plot” rate path ahead of the March meeting and that he wouldn’t want to prejudge that outcome.
“These comments highlighted to market participants the possibility that, at the March meeting, the Fed’s median ”dot“ could move up, signaling that four, rather than just three, hikes were likely to be appropriate in 2018,” said Michelle Girard, chief U.S. economist at NatWest Markets.
“While we believe the possibility exists that the median dot for 2018 moves higher, that is not yet our base case,” Girard added.
Fears of faster U.S. rate hikes have fed fears that other central banks will start to tighten policy and raise borrowing costs. That would in turn hurt corporate earnings, clouding the outlook for what had been expected to be another solid year of global economic growth.
The Fed had caused a so called “taper tantrum” in May 2013 when it signaled it was time to stop pumping cash into the U.S. economy, a move that created havoc in financial markets -particularly in Asia.
Asian markets have, so far, taken U.S. rate rises in their stride. The Fed moved three times in 2017 and is seen as certain to do the same or more this year, with the first move expected as early as March.
Rate futures fell following Powell’s remarks as traders began pricing in about a one-in-three chance of a fourth hike this year.
Equity markets in Europe and Wall Street turned south with the Dow, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq falling more than 1 percent each.
Treasury prices slipped on Powell’s testimony with yields on the 10-year U.S. note briefly rising past 2.9 percent. They were last at 2.89 percent.
The dollar staged a broad-based rally against most major currencies.
It rose 0.8 percent overnight against the Australian dollar to hover near a recent 1-1/2 month top.
Against the euro, it held near a three-week high after rising 0.7 percent overnight. The euro was last at $1.2231.
The dollar’s gains against the Japanese yen were, however, limited. It climbed 0.4 percent overnight and was last up 0.1 percent at 107.45 yen.
Oil fell amid expectations that upcoming weekly data will show an increase in U.S. crude inventories.
Brent crude futures closed down $1.09 at $66.41 a barrel, while U.S. crude was last down 22 cents at $62.79.
Spot gold slipped to $1,316.86 an ounce, not far from Tuesday’s $1,313.26 which was the lowest in three weeks. – Reuters