TOKYO, Oct 7 2019 : Asian shares edged higher today after data showed the U.S. unemployment rate dropped to the lowest in almost 50 years, easing concerns of a slowdown in the world’s largest economy.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.25%. Japan’s Nikkei stock index .N225 rose 0.29%, while Australian shares were up 0.48%
U.S. Treasury yields inched higher as Friday’s data on the U.S. jobs market suggests the Federal Reserve may not need to cut interest rates further.
Sentiment toward the U.S. economy deteriorated sharply last week after disappointing data on manufacturing and services suggested the trade war was taking a toll, and more rate cuts would be needed to avert a potential recession in the world’s biggest economy.
The modest increase in U.S. jobs has eased some of these concerns, but traders warn that downside risks loom large on the horizon. The U.S. unemployment rate fell to 3.5% in September to reach the lowest since December 1969. Non-farm payrolls also grew in September, but slightly less than expected.
The focus will shift to the next round of U.S.-China trade negotiations expected in Washington on Oct. 10-11 to see if the two sides can end a bruising year-long trade war that has hurt global growth and raised the risk of recession.
“Moderate job growth and subdued inflation in the United States is a positive for stocks,” said Shusuke Yamada, head of FX and Japan equity strategy at Merrill Lynch Japan Securities in Tokyo.
“However, the dollar is a little soft heading into U.S.-China trade talks. I see some scope for yen gains, but it is not likely to be a big move higher.”
U.S. stock futures fell 0.35% in Asia today after the S&P 500 .SPX ended 1.4% higher on Friday.
The yuan weakened about 0.20% in offshore trade to 7.1285 yuan per dollar CNH=. There is no onshore trading as today is the last day of China’s holiday break.
The United States and China have slapped tariffs on each other’s goods as part of a long-running dispute over Beijing’s trading practices, which Washington says are unfair.
Central banks around the world have been easing policy to offset the negative impact from the trade war.
The Fed has already lowered interest rates twice this year, but a strong jobs market suggests further rate cuts may not be necessary.
The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes rose to 1.5187% compared with its U.S. close of 1.5140% on Friday.
Worries about political instability in Hong Kong could hurt market sentiment after China’s army took the unusual step of issuing warnings to anti-government protesters in Hong Kong over the weekend.
Four months of often violent protests against Chinese rule has pushed the former British colony to the brink of recession and posed a serious challenge to Beijing’s control of the city.
Spot gold, an asset that is often bought during times of uncertainty as a safe-haven, rose 0.26% to $1,508.19 per ounce.
U.S. crude dipped 0.34% to $52.63 a barrel as worries about oversupply regularly weigh on oil futures prices. – Reuters